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Desagua douro de pensa mentos.
To have spent any amount of time observing President Trump over the last month is to conclude that he is in far over his head.
The
president is struggling with the consequences of his actions, raging in
protest of the fact that for all its firepower, the United States
cannot bomb Iran into submission. When Trump launched his “short-term excursion,”
he assumed that it would be — in the words of a Pentagon official in
the last Republican administration to launch a Middle East war — a
“cakewalk.”
That, as Trump’s own
intelligence agencies told him, was a mistake. Now, he is stuck. And he
lacks the skill and patience to find a way out of his self-inflicted
catastrophe. Unable to will a better outcome into existence — there are
limits to the power of positive thinking — and frustrated by his own
impotence, his response, familiar to anyone who must manage the emotions
of a young child, is to throw a tantrum.
Over the last few days, Trump has denounced “the Fake News Media” as “CRAZY, or just plain CORRUPT!” for its reporting on the war. He attacked Pope Leo XIV in a bizarre rant, calling him “WEAK on Crime” and “terrible for Foreign Policy.” And he posted an A.I. image of himself as Jesus, surrounded by devotees, healing an unnamed man.
This is not a man in control of himself, or a president in control of the situation around him.
I’ve
written before about the irony of a strongman president so uninterested
in governing that he has handed his power over to a handful of
deputies. Trump’s behavior as he faces failure in Iran underscores
another such irony.
Months before Trump won his second term, and well before he took office, the Supreme Court handed
him the reins of the unitary executive — the promise of an active,
energetic administration free of what the court deemed unnecessary
constraints. The president hasused
this power to run wild, trampling over constitutional government. But
he has also, at the same time, shown himself to be the weakest and most
ineffectual president of recent memory, less a man of commanding
authority than, well, a buffoon.
This
is not to say that Trump has been an inconsequential president, that he
hasn’t presided over the wholesale destruction of large parts of the
federal government, or that he hasn’t turned the sharp edge of the state
against the most vulnerable people in the country.
First
under the Department of Government Efficiency and then under the
direction of Russell Vought, director of the Office of Management and
Budget, the administration summarily liquidated several key agencies.
Among them: the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, the U.S. Agency
for International Development, the United States Institute of Peace, the
National Endowment for the Humanities and the Corporation for Public
Broadcasting. Trump’s White House has also slashed hundreds of millions
of dollars in taxpayer funding for new medicines and technologies in a
crushing blow to scientific research in the United States.
Under
the direction of Stephen Miller, a White House deputy chief of staff
and the architect of the president’s deportation program, the
administration has used its court-sanctioned authority to build a roving
secret police of armed immigration agents, used both to terrorize the
president’s political enemies and to remove as many immigrants from the
country as possible, regardless of legal status.
But
these grim facts of Trump’s tenure should not blind us to the way his
unilateral action betrays the weakness of his regime. Trump works almost
exclusively through executive orders — presidential directives used to
shape the priorities of the federal bureaucracy. This allows him to move
quickly. But there are also limits to his reach. In areas where Trump
cannot compel political actors to obey his demands — where there is no
legal basis for his authority — he struggles to do anything of
consequence.
Consider his effort to
impose a new citizenship requirement for voting, as well as a national
voter ID. He has issued two executive orders that purport to change
federal elections to suit his demands. But neither has much in the way
of legal force. Presidential power does not extend to election
administration. There is the SAVE Act — a bill that would write these
restrictions into law — but other than writing posts on his social media
website, Trump has done little to nothing to push that bill through
Congress.
He’s done little to nothing
with Congress, period. He’s taken few, if any, steps to work with the
supine Republican majority to consolidate his transformation of the
executive branch through legislation. Some of this is no doubt strategy,
with destruction as a fait accompli. But most of it reflects his
inability to engage the legislative process. The weakness we see abroad
is the weakness we see at home, and vice versa.
Politically,
the president’s unilateralism has been a disaster. His universal
tariffs — a vanity project as much as an economic program — are a drag
on both the economy and his approval rating.
The
same goes for his immigration policies, which also started with a broad
assertion of executive authority. They then produced an enormous
backlash from Americans under siege by ICE and Customs and Border
Protection. The resistance in Minnesota, in particular, underscored the
extent to which the president cannot withstand significant pushback. And
it ultimately forced him to fire his secretary of homeland security,
Kristi Noem, sideline the face of his efforts, Greg Bovino, and execute a
strategic retreat.
Nothing
underscores Trump’s weakness as an executive more than the war with
Iran. This is not to downplay the president’s decision to circumvent
Congress and start a war without so much as a nod to democratic
decision-making. It is the imperial project of a would-be authoritarian.
But, like many such projects throughout history, it is a showcase for
the pathologies and dysfunctions of the regime in question. Initial
operational success has given way to what is essentially a stalemate,
with Trump screaming at the world, unwilling to do much else.
For
as much as Trump is uniquely unsuited for the tremendous power of his
office, it is also true that the idea of the unitary executive rests on a
fundamental misunderstanding of the American political system. It
imagines that government can be
managed by a single figure, directing each part of the executive branch
as an extension of his person. But the American system rests on
consensus and collaboration. It depends on an active relationship
between the three branches, each working to steer the affairs of a state
and each entitled to its influence.
As
weak as Trump is, it’s not clear that any president could unilaterally
govern the country with any success. Even our strongest and most
aggressive presidents — Franklin Roosevelt comes to mind — worked in
conjunction and cooperation with congressional majorities and allies
within and outside the federal government. They understood that American
governance was a partnership and that collaboration is necessary if one
wants a durable and lasting legacy.
This
raises what is already the most important question of the Trump years
thus far: Will his legacy be durable and lasting? Does it represent a
new template for American government going forward? Or is it more like
an unfortunate detour into a dark alley?
There
is a decent chance that Trump is the beginning of something, and not
the end. But if we can escape these years intact and respond
accordingly, we may find that Trump stands less as an example and more
as a cautionary tale of what happens when we embrace unaccountable,
unilateral authority.