Why is Russia’s military regrouping and can Ukraine forces disrupt them?
"On the one hand, the Russian statements also reflects a significant – but temporary – win for Ukraine. A siege of Kyiv, a nightmare scenario for hundreds of thousands, has been averted, by a spirited defence that has seen light infantry harass and destroy Russian armour that tried and failed to bear down on the capital.
But Russia has a lot to gain from a slowdown in fighting, particularly where it is accompanied by hopeful-sounding rhetoric about reduced military activity around Kyiv – while its forces fight building by building for control of Mariupol in the south.
Its forces can rest, reorganise, and quietly concentrate mass in the east, now the publicly stated focus of operations. Reinforcements, where they are available, are “mostly lined up for reinforcements in operations in the Donbas”, western intelligence officials said on Tuesday."